Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.