Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Group Stage

Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK

Academy Stadium

Italy Women
1 - 1
Iceland Women

Bergamaschi (62')
Bergamaschi (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lea Vilhjalmsdottir (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's European Championship clash between Italy Women and Iceland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Women

Last Six:

Last Game: France Women 5-1 Italy Women
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	1	4	3
2	Iceland Women	1	0	1
3	Belgium Women	1	0	1
4	Italy Women	1	-4	0

Iceland Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Belgium Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	1	4	3
2	Iceland Women	1	0	1
3	Belgium Women	1	0	1
4	Italy Women	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Italy Women	Draw	Iceland Women
42.08% ( -0.07)	23.78% ( 0.01)	34.13% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.7% (

-0.03)

40.3% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.32% (

-0.03)

62.68% (

0.03)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.04)

19.45% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.07)

51.29% (

0.07)

Iceland Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.02)

23.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.03)

57.33% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Italy Women 42.08%

Iceland Women 34.13%

Draw 23.78%

Italy Women	Draw	Iceland Women
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.13%