Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium Women win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Iceland Women had a probability of 37.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Iceland Women win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.