France national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium

France Women
2 - 1
Belgium Women

Diani (6'), Mbock (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cayman (36')
Tysiak (82'), Delacauw (90+4')
Tysiak (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's European Championship clash between France Women and Belgium Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 5-1 Italy Women
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Sunday, July 10 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Belgium Women had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Belgium Women win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.

Result
France WomenDrawBelgium Women
61.79% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)20.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (0.026000000000003 0.03)42.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)64.47% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Belgium Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.036000000000001 0.04)74.38% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    France Women 61.77%
    Belgium Women 17.41%
    Draw 20.8%
France WomenDrawBelgium Women
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 61.77%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.8%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 17.41%

How you voted: France Women vs Belgium Women

France Women
82.5%
Draw
8.8%
Belgium Women
8.8%
57