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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 36
Jul 15, 2020 at 6pm UK
Turf Moor
Wolves logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Wolves

Wood (90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jimenez (76')

Preview: Burnley vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League game between Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Wolverhampton Wanderers make the trip to Turf Moor to face Burnley looking for another three points which would strengthen their hold of sixth position in the Premier League standings.

However, Burnley play host to the West Midlands outfit knowing that victory would move the club to within two points of their next opponents with two matches remaining.


Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on June 27, 2020© Reuters

While Wolves' convincing win over Everton was as much down to the lack of intent from their opponents than anything else, it was a result desperately required after two ineffective performances against Arsenal and Sheffield United respectively.

In the aftermath of the defeat to the latter, Nuno Espirito Santo received widespread criticism for his lack of substitutions and suggestions that not enough chances were being handed to his squad members.

However, the three players which came into the team against the Toffees - Leander Dendoncker, Pedro Neto and Daniel Podence - all provided a goal or assist on Sunday afternoon, leaving fans and general critics to praise Nuno for his change of approach.

Nevertheless, with teams as low as 10th place still in the picture, the win represents just one of four which will be required to guarantee European football next season.

Having performed so poorly against two of their direct rivals over the past 10 days, there is an argument that squaring off against Burnley on Wednesday is coming at the wrong time.

While Sean Dyche seemed on the brink of a departure earlier in the campaign, he has inspired a quite stunning upturn in results, the latest of which came at Anfield on Saturday.

Although Burnley found themselves under pressure for much of that contest, claiming a share of the spoils ended Liverpool's perfect Premier League home record, as well as extending their own unbeaten streak to five matches.

The North-West outfit still have plenty of work to do, but performing so efficiently at both ends of the pitch will fill even the most pessimistic of Burnley supporter with confidence heading into this contest.

With Norwich City and Brighton & Hove Albion to follow this game, claiming maximum points on Wednesday could be the difference between qualifying for Europe or having to settle for a top-half finish.

Burnley Premier League form: LWWDWD

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form: WWWLLW


Team News

Pedro Neto pictured for Wolves on August 15, 2019© Reuters

Having limped off with what appeared to be a knee injury against Everton, Neto is not expected to be involved on Wednesday night.

Joao Moutinho is likely to come into the side as his replacement, with one of Diogo Jota, Podence or Adama Traore partnering Raul Jimenez in attack.

Although Jonny suffered with cramp during the closing stages versus the Toffees, the left wing-back should take his place in the team.

Burnley boss Dyche could name an unchanged side for this contest, sticking with Erik Pieters in an unfamiliar right-midfield role.

However, Johann Berg Gudmundsson is pushing for a recall in that position.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Bardsley, Long, Tarkowski, Taylor; Pieters, Westwood, Brownhill, McNeil; Rodriguez, Wood

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Patricio; Boly, Coady, Saiss; Doherty, Dendoncker, Moutinho, Neves, Jonny; Jota, Jimenez


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Burnley 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Despite Wolves' return to form at the weekend, we are backing Burnley to emerge victorious in this contest. Dyche's side are well equipped to handle Wolves' attacking threat, as well as providing a threat at the other end of the pitch.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Wolverhampton Wanderers players celebrate Raul Jimenez's goal against Everton in the Premier League on July 12, 2020
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