World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

First Statement Stadium

Sudan
1 - 1
Togo

Eisa (17' pen.)
Agab (27'), Adil (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Denkey (43')
Dakonam (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sudan and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Togo

All competitions

Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Togo
21.13% ( 0.23)	26.31% ( 0.04)	52.56% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06% (

0.09)

58.94% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

0.07)

79.42% (

-0.07)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

0.3)

43.31% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

0.25)

79.55% (

-0.25)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

-0.08)

22.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

-0.11)

56.18% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Sudan 21.13%

Togo 52.56%

Draw 26.31%

Sudan	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 21.13%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.56%