Almeria
Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 0
Racing

Arribas (20'), Puigmal (47')
Guedes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gueye (80')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Almeria
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Real Oviedo
Sunday, May 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawRacing de Santander
58.76% (0.317 0.32)21.14% (-0.347 -0.35)20.1% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.13% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (1.665 1.67)39.3% (-1.663 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (1.721 1.72)61.63% (-1.72 -1.72)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (0.63500000000001 0.64)13.1% (-0.635 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.26% (1.275 1.28)39.73% (-1.274 -1.27)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.997 1)33.1% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (1.086 1.09)69.69% (-1.085 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 58.76%
    Racing de Santander 20.1%
    Draw 21.14%
AlmeriaDrawRacing de Santander
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.174 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.13 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 20.1%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Racing
2-2
Almeria
Martin (7' pen.), Carlos Arana (31')
Vicente (40'), Aldasoro (45+6'), Vencedor (45+4')
Ramazani (65'), Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Gonzalez (22'), Robertone (90+1')
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 27
Almeria
0-1
Racing

de la Hoz (56'), Vada (75')
Cejudo (14')
Galan (58'), Zidane (70'), Cejudo (91')
Aug 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 2
Racing
1-1
Almeria
Yoda (29')
Bunuel (89'), Ruiz (93')
Gassama (94')
Romera (38'), Aguza (42')
Jan 14, 2014 6.30pm
Round Five
Almeria
0-2
Racing

Jimenez (16'), Khaloua (74')
Mariano (62'), Duran (79')
Saul (29')
Jan 8, 2014 9pm
Round Five
Racing
1-1
Almeria
Concha (64')
Granero (78')
rhs 2.0


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