Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.