Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 16, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw
1 - 1
Jagiellonia

Macenko (54')
Ortiz (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Imaz (66')
Moutinho (67')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Slask Wroclaw and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 2-0 Slask Wroclaw
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 10 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slask Wroclaw win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slask Wroclaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Slask WroclawDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
45.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.22% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)30.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.52% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (0.083000000000006 0.08)43.81% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.080999999999996 0.08)66.2% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Slask Wroclaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.046000000000006 0.05)19.43% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.076000000000001 0.08)51.27% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)27.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)62.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Slask Wroclaw 45.46%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 30.32%
    Draw 24.21%
Slask WroclawDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia

Slask Wroclaw
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Jagiellonia
2-2
Slask Wroclaw
Diaby-Fadiga (39'), Imaz (70')
Nguiamba (90+5')
Ortiz (34'), Jezierski (88')
Pokorny (74')
Mar 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Jagiellonia
3-1
Slask Wroclaw
Marczuk (7', 31'), Sacek (17')
Romanczuk (61')
Samiec-Talar (53')
Pokorny (20'), Konczkowski (39'), Olsen (75'), Mustafic (90')
Sep 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Slask Wroclaw
2-1
Jagiellonia
Exposito (47', 81' pen.)
Olsen (8'), Zukowski (26'), Exposito (87'), Pokorny (90+2'), Macenko (90+5')
Wdowik (61' pen.)
Imaz (29'), Romanczuk (63'), Dieguez (87'), Laski (90+5')