Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.