NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 1
Crusaders

McDaid (2'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Offord (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boyd (78')
Forsythe (21'), Larmour (37'), Franklin (65'), Barr (82'), (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Linfield
Monday, March 24 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
61.85%23.36%14.8%
Both teams to score 41.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29%56.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34%77.66%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98%18.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09%48.91%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.17%49.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.46%84.54%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 61.83%
    Crusaders 14.8%
    Draw 23.35%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 15.38%
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.83%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 61.83%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 3.73%
0-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 14.8%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Crusaders
0-2
Linfield

Tuffey (12'), O'Rourke (55'), Jewitt-White (61'), Weir (69')
Orr (72'), Fitzpatrick (85')
Archer (55'), Orr (63')
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Linfield
2-1
Crusaders
Cooper (7'), McKee (45')
Cooper (11'), Fitzpatrick (29'), Orr (50'), Archer (85')
Fitzpatrick (90+3')
Clarke (10')
Clarke (42'), Larmour (70'), Jewitt-White (76'), Forsythe (90+1')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
2-3
Linfield
Stewart (58'), Callacher (90+4')
Callacher (26'), Franklin (61'), Stewart (72'), Fitzpatrick (79')
McClean (40', 86'), Fitzpatrick (62')
Fitzpatrick (90')
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Owens (56')
Lowry (28'), Larmour (37'), Owens (51'), Kennedy (58'), Weir (78'), O'Rourke (86')
Cooper (32'), Finlayson (90+3' og.)
Cooper (48'), Hall (53'), Fitzpatrick (65'), Mulgrew (81')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Linfield
1-0
Crusaders
Archer (27')
Hall (55'), Fallon (90')

Winchester (25')
rhs 2.0


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