Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 1
Burnley

Porro (32'), van de Ven (82')
Maddison (47'), Skipp (55'), Sarr (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bruun Larsen (25')
Cullen (11'), Taylor (46'), Berge (65'), Bruun Larsen (67'), Sarr (90'), Assignon (90+1'), Kompany (90+2')

Ange Postecoglou confirms injury to Tottenham attacker after national team snub

Tottenham Hotspur boss Ange Postecoglou confirms that attacker Richarlison has suffered a new calf injury after he was left out of Brazil's squad for the Copa America.

May 11, 19:04

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Spurs
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Burnley
69.21% ( -0.23)	16.09% ( 0.07)	14.7% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 66.07% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.65% (

0.02)

24.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.94% (

0.03)

44.06% (

-0.03)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.53% (

-0.04)

6.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.82% (

-0.1)

24.18% (

0.09)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

0.2)

29.36% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

0.25)

65.35% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 69.21%

Burnley 14.7%

Draw 16.09%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Burnley
2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.83% 4-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 69.21%	1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 16.09%	1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 14.7%