Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sestao River had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Sestao River win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Sestao River	Draw	Celta Vigo
21.34% ( 0.18)	24.35% ( 0.3)	54.31% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 49.55% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39% (

-1)

51.61% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6% (

-0.88)

73.4% (

0.88)

Sestao River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.11% (

-0.38)

38.89% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.38% (

-0.37)

75.62% (

0.37)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

-0.56)

18.92% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

-0.94)

50.42% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Sestao River 21.34%

Celta Vigo 54.3%

Draw 24.35%

Sestao River	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.34%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.3%