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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Betis


de Marcos (49')
Vivian (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jose (6')
Perez (43'), Pezzella (56'), Guardado (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Betis
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

While Athletic Bilbao have struggled for consistency on home soil in recent times, Real Betis have faltered on the road, losing each of their last three away league games. With that in mind, we expect Athletic and Betis to share the points at San Mames as both sides aim to avoid defeat and keep their respective European pushes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
62.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.038 0.04)72.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.027999999999992 0.03)15.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.37%
    Real Betis 15.55%
    Draw 22.07%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
63.8%
Draw
23.2%
Real Betis
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')

de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
Feb 4, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Betis
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao win 4-1 on penalties
Juanmi (84')
Ruibal (55'), Carvalho (83')
Garcia (90+4')
Berchiche (39'), Alvarez (42'), Garcia (48'), Martinez (53'), Lekue (72'), Garcia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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