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Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
VVV-Venlo

Almere City
1 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Duijvestijn (50')
Duijvestijn (42'), Pastoor (43'), Akujobi (55'), Barbet (89')
FT
(aet)
Allouch (62')
van Bruggen (109'), Ketting (113')
Almere City win 2-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Almere City and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-1 Almere City
Tuesday, May 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-1 Almere City
Tuesday, May 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We say: Almere City 2-0 VVV-Venlo (Almere win 3-1 on aggregate)

Given Venlo's poor form away from home, Almere are huge favourites to come out on top in this one. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory and book a place in the playoff final at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%).

Result
Almere CityDrawVVV-Venlo
51.35% (0.911 0.91) 23.88% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 24.77% (-0.98 -0.98)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-1.232 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79% (-1.163 -1.16)46.21% (1.166 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (-1.108 -1.11)68.5% (1.11 1.11)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)18.01% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (-0.158 -0.16)48.88% (0.161 0.16)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-1.425 -1.43)32.73% (1.427 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-1.621 -1.62)69.29% (1.623 1.62)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 51.35%
    VVV-Venlo 24.77%
    Draw 23.88%
Almere CityDrawVVV-Venlo
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.456 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.37 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.35%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Almere City vs VVV-Venlo

Almere City
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
VVV-Venlo
11.8%
17
Head to Head
May 30, 2023 7pm
Second Round 1st Leg
VVV-Venlo
1-1
Almere City
Van Rooijen (7')
de Boer (79'), van Rooijen (90+1')
Limbombe (29')
Esajas (86'), Akujobi (90+5')
Post (70')
Mar 13, 2023 7pm
gameweek 30
Almere City
1-3
VVV-Venlo
Ritmeester van de Kamp (18')
Venema (49'), De Boer (54'), Berden (61')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
gameweek 1
VVV-Venlo
3-0
Almere City
De Boer (7'), Braken (32' pen.), Van Bruggen (70' og.)
Venema (45+1'), Jansson (49'), Sedlacek (88')

Bakker (31'), Esajas (43')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
gameweek 28
Almere City
0-1
VVV-Venlo

Jacobs (84')
Post (23' og.)
Venema (84')
Aug 21, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 3
VVV-Venlo
2-1
Almere City
Sorga (45+3', 53')
Schroyen (24'), de Boer (28'), Bastiaans (90+1')
Duijvestijn (3')
Duijvestijn (66')
rhs 2.0
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