Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
MK Dons

Swindon
0 - 0
MK Dons


Smith (24')
FT

Sanders (16'), Hendry (68')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMK Dons
51.63% (1.125 1.13)22.64% (0.012 0.01)25.73% (-1.134 -1.13)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-1.154 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-1.042 -1.04)39.71% (1.043 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (-1.09 -1.09)62.06% (1.093 1.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)15.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)44.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-1.377 -1.38)28.49% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-1.764 -1.76)64.27% (1.767 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.63%
    MK Dons 25.73%
    Draw 22.64%
Swindon TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.397 0.4)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.372 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 25.73%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
3-1
Swindon
Thompson-Sommers (45+4'), Williams (57'), Gilbey (64')
Hendry (86')
Smith (1')
Smith (62'), Holloway (63')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
1-2
MK Dons
Austin (89')
Khan (45'), McKirdy (75')
Wearne (4', 8')
Bate (29')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')
Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
MK Dons
5-0
Swindon
Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
1-4
MK Dons
Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')