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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 51.63% ( | 22.64% ( | 25.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% ( | 62.06% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( | 15.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( | 44.43% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% ( | 64.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 25.73% |