League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 1
MK Dons

Thomas (42')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hogan (28')
Offord (38'), Nemane (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Crewe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Newport
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
42.34% ( -0.38)	25.32% ( 0.16)	32.34% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 55.71% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09% (

-0.6)

47.91% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91% (

-0.56)

70.09% (

0.56)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.44)

22.54% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

-0.66)

56.13% (

0.66)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92% (

-0.15)

28.08% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25% (

-0.2)

63.75% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 42.34%

MK Dons 32.34%

Draw 25.31%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.34%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.34%