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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
MK Dons

Crewe
0 - 1
MK Dons


Thomas (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (28')
Offord (38'), Nemane (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Crewe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Newport
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 MK Dons

Warne appears to have brought an instant impact to MK Dons' defensive structure, and we expect him to approach this game with cautiousness given that one point might likely secure his team's survival. Crewe have struggled in recent weeks and are not likely to break down the visitors if they set up to be defensively solid, which is why we are expecting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMK Dons
42.34% (-0.377 -0.38) 25.32% (0.155 0.16) 32.34% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)47.91% (0.605 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-0.558 -0.56)70.09% (0.56 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.437 -0.44)22.54% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.656 -0.66)56.13% (0.659 0.66)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (-0.151 -0.15)28.08% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (-0.195 -0.2)63.75% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 42.34%
    MK Dons 32.34%
    Draw 25.31%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.34%

How you voted: Crewe vs MK Dons

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
1-1
Crewe
White (9')
Sherring (49'), Gilbey (75'), Hogan (82')
Knight-Lebel (55')
Conway (62'), Knight-Lebel (88')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
MK Dons
3-1
Crewe
Dennis (5', 22'), Wearne (25')
Bate (62'), Kemp (70'), Tomlinson (72')
Nevitt (19')
Turns (38'), Cooney (72')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (62'), Baker-Richardson (69'), Long (90')
Thomas (55'), O'Riordan (89'), Rowe (90+2'), Davies (90+3')
Leko (8')
Gilbey (75')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
2-1
Crewe
Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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