League Two Gameweek 43
MK Dons
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
Newport
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 23' yellowcard
  • Laurence Maguire 39' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 43' yellowcard
  • Tommi O'Reilly 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 50'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hudlin 89'

MK Dons vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Newport 0 - 2 Colchester
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Bobby Kamwa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

MK Dons 63.81% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 20.41% ▲ (+0.17)
Newport County 15.78% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.96% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 43.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 34.3% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 65.69% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 17.75% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 82.25% ▲ (+0.16)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 87.11% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 12.89% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 60.71% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.39)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 59.64% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 40.35% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 23.03% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

MK Dons 63.8%
Draw 20.41%
Newport County 15.78%
MK Dons
2-0 @ 10.91% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 63.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.41%
Newport County
0-1 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.78%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 21
Newport
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
6
3
HT : 4 1
FT Rodney Parade
MK Dons
  • Bryn Morris 12' goal
  • Bryn Morris 16' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 23' goal
  • Bryn Morris 36' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 47' goal
  • Bobby Kamwa 79' yellowcard
  • Bobby Kamwa 81' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 34'
  • goal Luke Offord 45'+3'
  • goal Joe White 71'
  • yellowcard Joe White 72'
  • goal Luke Offord 75'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 79'
League Two Gameweek 35
MK Dons
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadium mk
Newport
  • Dan Kemp 12' goal
  • Jack Payne 23' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 29' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 83' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 25'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 31'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 85'
League Two Gameweek 17
Newport
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
MK Dons
  • Omar Bogle 15' yellowcard
  • Will Evans 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 67'
  • yellowcard Jack Payne 90'+5'
EFL Trophy
MK Dons
Nov 22, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Newport
  • Darragh Burns 27' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 59' goal
  • Will Grigg 77' goal
  • goal Jack Tucker 85' (OG)
EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Newport
Jan 7, 2020 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rodney Parade (Newport (Casnewydd))
MK Dons
  • Tristan Abrahams 4' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 8' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 25' goal
  • Matthew Sorinola 35' goal
  • Scott Bennett 68' yellowcard
  • Matthew Dolan 87' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 34
MK Dons
Feb 23, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
Newport
  • Ousseynou Cisse 57' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 70' yellowcard
  • Chuks Aneke 89' goal

Form Data

Gillingham 1 - 0 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 3 Barrow
Notts County 3 - 0 MK Dons
MK Dons 2 - 4 Fleetwood
Carlisle 2 - 2 MK Dons
Cheltenham 0 - 1 MK Dons
Newport 0 - 2 Colchester
Carlisle 3 - 2 Newport
Newport 1 - 1 Bromley
Newport 0 - 2 Notts County
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Newport
Newport 3 - 0 Harrogate