League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
0 - 0
Newport

Thompson-Sommers (23'), Maguire (39'), Lemonheigh-Evans (43'), O'Reilly (45+1')

Baker-Richardson (50'), Hudlin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Newport County
63.81% ( -0.43)	20.41% ( 0.16)	15.78% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7% (

-0.21)

43.3% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.3% (

-0.21)

65.69% (

0.21)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

-0.19)

12.89% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.71% (

-0.39)

39.29% (

0.39)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.21)

40.35% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03% (

0.2)

76.97% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 63.8%

Newport County 15.78%

Draw 20.41%

MK Dons	Draw	Newport County
2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.8%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.41%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.78%