MX23RW : Friday, May 16 16:01:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Newport County

MK Dons
0 - 0
Newport


Thompson-Sommers (23'), Maguire (39'), Lemonheigh-Evans (43'), O'Reilly (45+1')
FT

Baker-Richardson (50'), Hudlin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Colchester
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Newport County

The arrival of Warne will bring about a new buzz at MK Dons, yet it may not impact on their fortunes this week. Therefore, we are backing a low-key draw to play out in Milton Keynes, one which may mathematically guarantee fourth-tier survival for both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNewport County
63.81% (-0.428 -0.43) 20.41% (0.164 0.16) 15.78% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.212 -0.21)43.3% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.21 -0.21)65.69% (0.211 0.21)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.188 -0.19)12.89% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.387 -0.39)39.29% (0.388 0.39)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.215 0.21)40.35% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03% (0.197 0.2)76.97% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 63.8%
    Newport County 15.78%
    Draw 20.41%
MK DonsDrawNewport County
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.78%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Newport
6-3
MK Dons
Morris (12', 16', 36' pen.), Kamwa (23', 47', 81')
Kamwa (79')
Offord (45+3', 75'), White (71')
Nemane (34'), White (72'), Maguire (79')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
3-0
Newport
Kemp (12'), Payne (23'), Gilbey (29')
Gilbey (83'), Tomlinson (88')

Wildig (25'), Morris (31'), Evans (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Newport
0-0
MK Dons
Bogle (15'), Evans (45+2')
Norman (67'), Payne (90+5')
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
MK Dons
3-1
Newport
Burns (27'), Dennis (59'), Grigg (77')
Tucker (85' og.)
Jan 7, 2020 7.30pm
Round of 16
Newport
3-0
MK Dons
Abrahams (4'), Amond (25'), Sorinola (35' og.)
Sheehan (8'), Bennett (68'), Dolan (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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