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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Grimsby Town

MK Dons
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Hendry (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
42.41% (0.489 0.49)25.71% (0.017999999999997 0.02)31.88% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.233 -0.23)49.77% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.209 -0.21)71.77% (0.211 0.21)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.13800000000001 0.14)23.32% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.2 0.2)57.27% (-0.197 -0.2)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.444 -0.44)29.3% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.552 -0.55)65.27% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.41%
    Grimsby Town 31.88%
    Draw 25.71%
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.075 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Grimsby Town

MK Dons
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
1-3
MK Dons
Rose (16')
Warren (88'), Hume (90+2')
Gilbey (49'), Hogan (53'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+5')
Gilbey (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+1'), Harrison (90+4')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Obikwu (33')
Gnahoua (9'), Mullarkey (16'), Holohan (44'), Hume (73'), Thompson (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Payne (66')
Williams (45+7')
Pyke (20')
Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Thomas (27')
Ohman (25'), Whitmore (64')
Davis (41')

Gilbey (45'), Cargill (61')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
3-1
MK Dons
Embleton (50'), Thomas (61'), Vernam (73')
Welsh (90')
Agard (23')
Houghton (57'), Williams (73'), Walsh (84')