League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • 83' goal
  • Callum Hendry 85' yellowcard

MK Dons vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 1 MK Dons
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Port Vale 2 - 2 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 42.41% (+0.49)
Draw 25.71% (+0.02)
Grimsby Town 31.88% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.23% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 49.77% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 28.22% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 71.77% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 13.46% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 86.54% (+0.15)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 76.68% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 23.32% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 42.73% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 57.27% (-0.20)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.7% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 29.3% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 34.73% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 65.27% (+0.56)

Score analysis

MK Dons 42.41%
Draw 25.71%
Grimsby Town 31.88%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.95% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 42.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 31.88%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Danny Rose 16' goal
  • Tyrell Warren 88' yellowcard
  • Denver Hume 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 49'
  • goal Scott Hogan 53'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 65'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 90'+4'
  • goal Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Arthur Gnahoua 9' yellowcard
  • Toby Mullarkey 16' yellowcard
  • Justin Obikwu 33' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 44' yellowcard
  • Denver Hume 73' yellowcard
  • Curtis Thompson 90' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium mk
  • MJ Williams 45'+7' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Jack Payne 66' goal
  • Jack Payne 66' goal
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 20'
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 20'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
  • yellowcard Callum Ainley 85'
  • yellowcard Callum Ainley 85'
  • yellowcard Donovan Wilson 90'
  • yellowcard Donovan Wilson 90'
League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 26, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park (Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire)
  • Ludvig Ohman 25' yellowcard
  • Wes Thomas 27' goal
  • Harry Davis 41' redcard
  • Alex Whitmore 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 45'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 61'
FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elliot Embleton 50' goal
  • Wes Thomas 61' goal
  • Charles Vernam 73' goal
  • John Welsh 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Agard 23'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 57'
  • yellowcard George Williams 73'
  • yellowcard Joe Walsh 84'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • Robbie Simpson 46' goal
  • Baily Cargill 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Cook 35'
  • yellowcard Alex Whitmore 70'
  • redcard Paul Dixon 82'
  • yellowcard James McKeown 90'
  • yellowcard Akin Famewo 90'