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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Grimsby Town

MK Dons
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Hendry (85')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 0-1 Grimsby Town

While Grimsby have only won once in all four visits to MK Dons, their greater urgency in the playoff race could see them edge this encounter, especially with the hosts showing more defensive discipline of late, which may keep the scoreline tight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
42.41% (0.489 0.49) 25.71% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 31.88% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.233 -0.23)49.77% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.209 -0.21)71.77% (0.211 0.21)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.13800000000001 0.14)23.32% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.2 0.2)57.27% (-0.197 -0.2)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.444 -0.44)29.3% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.552 -0.55)65.27% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.41%
    Grimsby Town 31.88%
    Draw 25.71%
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.075 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Grimsby Town

MK Dons
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
1-3
MK Dons
Rose (16')
Warren (88'), Hume (90+2')
Gilbey (49'), Hogan (53'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+5')
Gilbey (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+1'), Harrison (90+4')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Obikwu (33')
Gnahoua (9'), Mullarkey (16'), Holohan (44'), Hume (73'), Thompson (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Payne (66')
Williams (45+7')
Pyke (20')
Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Thomas (27')
Ohman (25'), Whitmore (64')
Davis (41')

Gilbey (45'), Cargill (61')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
3-1
MK Dons
Embleton (50'), Thomas (61'), Vernam (73')
Welsh (90')
Agard (23')
Houghton (57'), Williams (73'), Walsh (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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