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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Swindon Town

Gillingham
1 - 1
Swindon

Gbode (61')
Gale (13'), Williams (67'), Gbode (69')
Williams (90+3'), Gbode (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (67')
Tshimanga (45'), Glatzel (78'), Freckleton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Bromley
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Swindon Town

Both teams are evenly matched in their current circumstances, and with Gillingham's drawing habit meeting Swindon's poor history at Priestfield, another stalemate feels like the most fitting outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSwindon Town
36.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 28.5% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 35.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)60.07% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)80.29% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.62% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)68.03% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)32.27% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)68.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 36.24%
    Swindon Town 35.25%
    Draw 28.49%
GillinghamDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.25%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Swindon

Gillingham
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swindon Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Swindon
1-1
Gillingham
Smith (90+4')
Clarke (45+6')
Hall (9')
Dieng (16')
Bonner (10'), Williams (61'), Hawkins (82')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Gillingham
2-2
Swindon
Hawkins (68'), Mahoney (79' pen.)
Dieng (52'), S (53')
McGurk (24'), McKirdy (90+4')
Blake-Tracy (78'), McEachran (83')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
0-1
Gillingham
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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