League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)

Gillingham
1 - 1
Swindon

Gbode (61', 61')
Gale (13'), Williams (67'), Gbode (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (67')
Tshimanga (45'), Glatzel (78'), Freckleton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Bromley
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Swindon Town
36.25% ( -0)	28.5% ( 0.03)	35.25% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

-0.09)

60.07% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

-0.07)

80.29% (

0.07)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

-0.05)

31.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0.06)

68.03% (

0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73% (

-0.06)

32.27% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23% (

-0.07)

68.77% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 36.24%

Swindon Town 35.25%

Draw 28.49%

Gillingham	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.25%