Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK

Futbalovy stadion MFK Ruzomberok

Ruzomberok
5 - 2
Tobol

(MFK Ruzomberok win 5-3 on aggregate)

Gabriel (11', 88'), Selecky (40'), Maly (45+3'), Madlenak (77')
Gabriel (56'), Selecky (66'), Luteran (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Ivanovic (9'), Henen (45')
Chesnokov (33'), Gabaraev (47'), Shakhov (64'), Alioune N'Diaye (90+1'), Miladinovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between MFK Ruzomberok and Tobol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Ruzomberok

All competitions

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Ruzomberok
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League

Goals
for

Tobol

All competitions

Last Game: Plzen 3-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Banska Bystrica	0	nan
2	Dunajska Streda	0	nan
3	FK Kosice	0	nan
4	Komarno	0	nan
5	Ruzomberok	0	nan
6	Podbrezova	0	nan
7	Skalica	0	nan
8	Slovan Bratislava	0	nan
9	Spartak Trnava	0	nan
10	Trencin	0	nan
11	Michalovce	0	nan
12	Zilina	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Ruzomberok win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Ruzomberok would win this match.

Result
MFK Ruzomberok	Draw	Tobol
43.62% ( -0.07)	26.76% ( -0.01)	29.62% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

0.07)

54.83% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

0.06)

76.13% (

-0.06)

MFK Ruzomberok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05%

24.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

-0)

59.59%

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

0.1)

33.47% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89% (

0.11)

70.11% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

MFK Ruzomberok 43.61%

Tobol 29.62%

Draw 26.76%

MFK Ruzomberok	Draw	Tobol
1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.62%