Fluminense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 0
Once Caldas

Martinelli (2', 2'), Serna (34', 34')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Once Caldas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Once Caldas

All competitions
Last Game: Once Caldas 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Once Caldas had a probability of 11.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Once Caldas win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawOnce Caldas
68.82% (-0.113 -0.11)19.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)11.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 43.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8%48.2% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)12.93% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)39.37% (0.064 0.06)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.43% (0.122 0.12)49.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.64% (0.088000000000001 0.09)84.36% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 68.81%
    Once Caldas 11.7%
    Draw 19.49%
FluminenseDrawOnce Caldas
2-0 @ 13.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 68.81%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.49%
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.23% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 11.7%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Once Caldas
0-1
Fluminense

Cuesta (7'), Garcia Castillo (68'), Garcia Rojas (70'), Manuel Arteaga Arboleda (90+2')
Cano (31')
Canobbio (18'), Martinelli (90+2')