Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2 - 3
Once Caldas

Becerra (70', 70'), Villamil (80', 80')
Hector Seimandi (66'), Hector Seimandi (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Moreno (43', 43', 73', 73', 88', 88')
Arley Zapata Ramirez (7'), Arley Zapata Ramirez (7')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Once Caldas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

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Last Game: Fluminense 5-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Friday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Once Caldas

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Last Game: Union Espanola 0-2 Once Caldas
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Once Caldas had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Once Caldas win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawOnce Caldas
45.75% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)24.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)29.59% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.16 -0.16)46.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.52% (-0.151 -0.15)68.48% (0.146 0.15)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)20.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.152 -0.15)52.62% (0.147 0.15)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.05% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.96% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 45.75%
    Once Caldas 29.59%
    Draw 24.65%
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawOnce Caldas
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.59%

rhs 2.0


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