Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Palogrande

Once Caldas
2 - 1
Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Andres Malagon Piracun (35', 35'), Beltran (79', 79')
Pablo Patino Paz (74'), Pablo Patino Paz (74'), Beltran (90+1'), Beltran (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Roca Vivancos (58', 58')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Once Caldas and Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Once Caldas

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Last Game: Once Caldas 1-0 Union Espanola
Thursday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Gualberto Villarroel SJ

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Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Once Caldas win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Once Caldas win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Once Caldas would win this match.

Result
Once CaldasDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
69.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)11.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.32% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)69.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)12.55% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)38.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.25% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)84.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Once Caldas 69.23%
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 11.57%
    Draw 19.2%
Once CaldasDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 9.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 69.23%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 19.2%
0-1 @ 4.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.22%
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.57%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2-3
Once Caldas
Becerra (70'), Villamil (80')
Hector Seimandi (66')
Moreno (43', 73', 88')
Arley Zapata Ramirez (7')