Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1 - 0
Fluminense

Moises Calero Salazar (69', 69')
Arismendi (18'), Arismendi (18')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lavega (45+3'), Lavega (45+3')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-3 Once Caldas
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Sport
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ	Draw	Fluminense
21.76% ( -0.98)	22.9% ( -0.62)	55.35% ( 1.59)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

1.57)

45.09% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

1.49)

67.44% (

-1.49)

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

-0.03)

34.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

-0.04)

71.53% (

0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

1.13)

16.15% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

2.02)

45.6% (

-2.02)

Score Analysis

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 21.76%

Fluminense 55.34%

Draw 22.89%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.76%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 55.34%