Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.