Copa do Brasil
May 21, 2025 11.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Wellington Carvalho 31' goal
  • Enzo Bizzotto Costa 41' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Xavier 41'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nonato 58'
  • goal Vanderley Ribeiro Correia Filho 64' (OG)
  • goal Ganso 71'
  • yellowcard Thiago 82'

Aparecidense vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aparecidense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 0 Aparecidense

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 0 Aparecidense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Aparecidense had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Aparecidense win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Aparecidense 21.44% (-0.46)
Draw 26.4% (-0.34)
Fluminense 52.16% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.04% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.05% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 58.95% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 20.57% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 79.43% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 8.67% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 91.34% (-0.33)

Aparecidense Goals

Over 0.5 57.01% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.99% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 20.72% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 79.29% (+0.05)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 22.76% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 43.56% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 56.44% (-0.98)

Score analysis

Aparecidense 21.44%
Draw 26.4%
Fluminense 52.16%
Aparecidense
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 5.16% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 3.82% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.4%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 14.48% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 10.72% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.05% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 5.29% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.47% (+0.14)
0-4 @ 1.96% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.65% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 52.16%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 30, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Gabriel Fuentes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Fuentes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Keno 81' goal
  • Keno 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Henrique Gomes 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Henrique Gomes 44'
  • yellowcard David Junio Manoel dos Santos 66'
  • yellowcard David Junio Manoel dos Santos 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas da Silva Rocha 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas da Silva Rocha 70'
  • yellowcard Wellington Carvalho 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Wellington Carvalho 90'+2'