Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.