Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Operario Ferroviario had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Operario Ferroviario win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).