Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Augusto Bauer
Athletico Paranaense

Brusque
0 - 0
Athletico PR


Carvalho Costa (22'), Eduardo Santos (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Oliveira Teodoro Falcao (89')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Brusque and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brusque

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Olaria 1-2 Brusque
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-1 Guarany de Bage
Thursday, March 13 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Brusque win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
BrusqueDrawAthletico Paranaense
21.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)28.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)50.85% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 39.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.6% (0.082999999999998 0.08)64.39% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.53% (0.058999999999997 0.06)83.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Brusque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85%82.14% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (0.079000000000008 0.08)25.76% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (0.107 0.11)60.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brusque 21.1%
    Athletico Paranaense 50.83%
    Draw 28.04%
BrusqueDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.1%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 16.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 50.83%

rhs 2.0


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