Ceara

5 - 1

Brusque

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.