Ceara
Copa do Brasil | Fourth Stage
Sep 24, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
5 - 1
Brusque

Sobis (45', 64'), Bergson (75'), Airton (78' og.), Tiago (90')
Prass (18'), Alves Chu Franco (87'), Chu (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sandro (19' pen.)
Jose da Silva Junior (52'), Edilson (52')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Fourth Stage clash between Ceara and Brusque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawBrusque
60.12%23.75%16.13%
Both teams to score 42.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98%56.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89%77.11%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46%49.54%
Brusque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.45%47.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.1%82.9%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 60.12%
    Brusque 16.13%
    Draw 23.75%
CearaDrawBrusque
1-0 @ 14.81%
2-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 5.26%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.96%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.5%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.13%