Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.