Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 22, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Antonio Accioly

Atletico GO
4 - 2
Brusque

Fernando (12'), Shaylon (30'), Rhaldney (34'), Baralhas (57')
Kal (45+1'), Moccelin (63')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Cardoso Francisco (41', 88')
da Silva Dias Ribeiro (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Goianiense and Brusque, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Goianiense

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Brusque

Last Game: Ceara 5-1 Brusque
Thursday, September 24 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.

Result
Atletico Goianiense	Draw	Brusque
59.13% ( -0.15)	22.44% ( 0.07)	18.43% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.83% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-0.16)

47.57% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-0.14)

69.77% (

0.14)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27% (

-0.1)

15.73% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.17% (

-0.19)

44.83% (

0.19)

Brusque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32% (

39.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.64% (

76.36% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atletico Goianiense 59.12%

Brusque 18.43%

Draw 22.44%

Atletico Goianiense	Draw	Brusque
1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 59.12%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.43%