Copa do Brasil | Second Round

Mar 13, 2025 at 10.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 1
Guarany de Bage

Fernando (12', 41', 72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Philippe Nunes Nascimento (59')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Athletico Paranaense and Guarany de Bage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Pouso Alegre 0-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Guarany de Bage

All competitions

Last Game: Guarany de Bage 2-1 Altos
Wednesday, February 26 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 83.95%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Guarany de Bage had a probability of 4.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.9%) and 1-0 (11.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Guarany de Bage win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Guarany de Bage
83.95% ( -0)	11.73% ( -0)	4.32%

Both teams to score 33.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.04%

39.96% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.67%

62.32% (

-0)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.95% (

-0)

7.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.25%

25.74% (

-0)

Guarany de Bage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.55%

63.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.68%

92.31% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 83.93%

Guarany de Bage 4.32%

Draw 11.73%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Guarany de Bage
2-0 @ 15.73% 3-0 @ 13.9% 1-0 @ 11.86% 4-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.33% 5-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 4.2% 5-1 @ 2.23% 6-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 0.98% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 83.93%	1-1 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.24% Total : 11.73%	0-1 @ 2.04% 1-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.06% Total : 4.32%