Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altos win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Guarany de Bage had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Guarany de Bage win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.