Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Capital Brasilia had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Capital Brasilia win it was 0-1 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Capital Brasilia
81.73% ( -0.22)	12.1% ( -0.18)	6.16% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 46% (

3.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.95% (

2.98)

32.05% (

-2.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.37% (

3.4)

53.62% (

-3.4)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.1% (

0.55)

5.9% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.41% (

1.55)

22.59% (

-1.55)

Capital Brasilia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.88% (

3.48)

51.12% (

-3.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.58% (

2.22)

85.42% (

-2.22)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 81.72%

Capital Brasilia 6.16%

Draw 12.11%

Botafogo	Draw	Capital Brasilia
2-0 @ 12.07% ( -1.16) 3-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.69) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -1.12) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.4) 5-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.35) 6-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.3) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.19) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.85% Total : 81.72%	1-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.11%	0-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.22% Total : 6.16%