Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
Botafogo logo

Capital Brasilia
1 - 0
Botafogo

da Rosa Milanez (31', 31')
(16'), Barros dos Santos (16'), (16'), Barros dos Santos (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lima Serafim (25'), Lima Serafim (25'), Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes (41'), Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes (41')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Capital Brasilia and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Capital Brasilia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Capital Brasilia
Wednesday, April 30 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, May 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Capital Brasilia had a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.56%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Capital Brasilia win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Capital BrasiliaDrawBotafogo
13.37% (0.51 0.51)21.99% (0.422 0.42)64.65% (-0.932 -0.93)
Both teams to score 41.43% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.56 -0.56)54.33% (0.561 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.467 -0.47)75.71% (0.46900000000001 0.47)
Capital Brasilia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.44% (0.483 0.48)50.56% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.95% (0.327 0.33)85.04% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.5 -0.5)16.2% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.918 -0.92)45.69% (0.92 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Capital Brasilia 13.37%
    Botafogo 64.63%
    Draw 21.98%
Capital BrasiliaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 3.47% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.91% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 13.37%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.182 0.18)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 14.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 13.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.23% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 5.61% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.75% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.36% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 64.63%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2025 11pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Botafogo
4-0
Capital Brasilia
Telles (12' pen.), Jesus (74' pen.), Artur (76'), Seco (90')
Gregore (49')

de Souza Miranda (90+3')