Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Capital Brasilia had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.56%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Capital Brasilia win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.