Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Olimpico Rafael Calles Pinto

Carabobo
1 - 2
Botafogo

Aponte (76')
Gonzalez (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vitinho (22'), Cuiabano (90+1')
Seco (35'), Loiola (54')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Carabobo and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Universidad
Wednesday, April 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo
Sunday, May 4 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Carabobo	Draw	Botafogo
26.59% ( 4.66)	29.51% ( -0.8)	43.91% ( -3.85)

Both teams to score 40.89% (

5.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.61% (

4.52)

65.39% (

-4.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84% (

3.02)

84.16% (

-3.02)

Carabobo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.23% (

7.23)

41.77% (

-7.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

5.72)

78.23% (

-5.72)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.23)

29.78% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

0.27)

65.86% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Carabobo 26.59%

Botafogo 43.9%

Draw 29.5%

Carabobo	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 1.24) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 1) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.37) Other @ 1.18% Total : 26.59%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -2.26) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.77) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 15.06% ( -2.64) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( -1.52) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.35% Total : 43.9%