Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
3 - 2
Estudiantes

Seco (42', 42'), Jesus (52', 52'), Artur (85', 85')
Cuiabano (90'), Cuiabano (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Palacios (62' pen., 62' pen., 77', 77')
Ascacibar (19'), Ascacibar (19'), Arzamendia (65'), Arzamendia (65'), Meza (90+3'), Meza (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Internacional
Monday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Rosario 2-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Estudiantes
56.06% ( -1.61)	25.49% ( 0.7)	18.45% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 42.31% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.03% (

-1.26)

58.97% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55% (

-0.98)

79.45% (

0.98)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88% (

-1.14)

21.11% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.04% (

-1.81)

53.95% (

1.8)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.64% (

0.37)

46.36% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18% (

0.28)

81.99% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 56.05%

Estudiantes 18.45%

Draw 25.49%

Botafogo	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 15.22% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.05%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 18.45%