Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 8, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Universidad
0 - 3
Estudiantes

Sepulveda (40'), Sepulveda (40'), Calderon (76'), Calderon (76')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Palacios (22', 22'), Ascacibar (31', 31'), Carrillo (39', 39')
Palacios (37'), Palacios (37'), Arzamendia (43'), Arzamendia (43'), Medina (53'), Medina (53'), Ascacibar (60'), Ascacibar (60'), Tobio Burgos (85'), Tobio Burgos (85')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad de Chile and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad de Chile

Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Universidad
Wednesday, April 23 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 4-0 Estudiantes
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 41.82%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Universidad de Chile	Draw	Estudiantes
41.82% ( 0.09)	29.18% ( -0)	29% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.53% (

-0.01)

63.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.2% (

-0.01)

82.81% (

0.01)

Universidad de Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

0.05)

29.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

0.06)

66.11% (

-0.06)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

-0.07)

38.63% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

-0.07)

75.38% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Universidad de Chile 41.82%

Estudiantes 28.99%

Draw 29.17%

Universidad de Chile	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.82%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 28.99%