CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 15, 2024 at 11pm UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Saint Martin
0 - 5
Curacao

Dumas (64')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Margaritha (24', 34', 54', 80'), Bacuna (78' pen.)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Saint Martin
Tuesday, October 15 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Anguilla	0	0	0
2	Bonaire	0	0	0
3	Saint Martin	0	0	0

Curacao

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Curacao 1-0 Grenada
Monday, October 14 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.71%) and 1-3 (5.35%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
Saint Martin	Draw	Curacao
34.04% ( 0.16)	22.18% ( 0.07)	43.78% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 67.8% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.63% (

-0.32)

32.37% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.01% (

-0.37)

53.99% (

0.37)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.07)

19.72% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

-0.11)

51.73% (

0.11)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.21)

15.55% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51% (

-0.4)

44.49% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Saint Martin 34.04%

Curacao 43.78%

Draw 22.18%

Saint Martin	Draw	Curacao
2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 43.78%