Chinese Super League | Gameweek 21
Sep 9, 2020 at 11am UK
Tianhe Stadium

Evergrande
2 - 0
Tianjin

Paulinho (28'), Fernandinho (54')
Browning (47'), Xiuwei (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ju-hun (87')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Tianjin Tianhai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Tianjin Tianhai win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawTianjin Tianhai
58.6%22.03%19.38%
Both teams to score 53.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58%44.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21%66.8%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17%14.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.15%
Tianjin Tianhai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2%36.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41%73.6%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 58.6%
    Tianjin Tianhai 19.38%
    Draw 22.02%
GuangzhouDrawTianjin Tianhai
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.46%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.38%