Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 2
Mainz 05

Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
45.49%	24.22%	30.28%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76%

66.24%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56%

19.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73%

51.27%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59%

27.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11%

62.88%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 45.49%

Mainz 05 30.28%

Draw 24.22%

FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.28%