Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Paysandu had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Paysandu win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Paysandu
68.16% ( -0.03)	19.73% ( 0.06)	12.11% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

-0.29)

48.19% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.65% (

-0.27)

70.35% (

0.27)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

-0.1)

13.11% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.2)

39.76% (

0.2)

Paysandu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.16% (

-0.22)

48.84% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.16% (

-0.16)

83.84% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Bahia 68.15%

Paysandu 12.11%

Draw 19.73%

Bahia	Draw	Paysandu
2-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 68.15%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.73%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 12.11%