World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

FIFA Technical Centre Butwal

Antigua
1 - 1
Bermuda

Deterville (26')
Parker (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ming (90')
Robinson (14'), Lewis (63'), Ming (90+4')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

Last Game: Guyana 6-0 Antigua
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Bermuda

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bermuda
42.67% ( 4.19)	23.63% ( 0.07)	33.7% ( -4.26)

Both teams to score 62.17% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

-1.04)

39.67% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

-1.09)

62.02% (

1.09)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

1.45)

18.93% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

2.35)

50.44% (

-2.35)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-2.68)

23.31% (

2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-4.06)

57.25% (

4.07)

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 42.67%

Bermuda 33.7%

Draw 23.62%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Bermuda
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.51) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.57) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.43% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.54) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.48) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.7%