Twee partijen die strijden om de tweede plaats in groep C zullen woensdagavond hoorns op slot doen, terwijl Sporting Lisbon Borussia Dortmund verwelkomt in de Estadio Jose Alvalade voor hun voorlaatste Champions League-groepsbotsing.
Beide clubs staan na vier wedstrijden gelijk op punten, hoewel Dortmund momenteel de tweede plaats bezet omdat ze een beter head-to-head record hebben, vanwege hun 1-0 overwinning in de omgekeerde wedstrijd in september.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 3-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.