World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
5 - 1
North Korea

Afif (17'), Al Ganehi (23'), Yu-song (34' og.), Al Rawi (56'), Alaa (66')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kwang-hun (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kuwait 1-1 Qatar
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Qatar
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 1-1 North Korea
Friday, March 14 at 6.15pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: North Korea vs. UAE
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	North Korea
52.56% ( -0.4)	24.07% ( 0.25)	23.36% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

-0.88)

48.36% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

-0.81)

70.51% (

0.81)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.49)

18.36% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.83)

49.48% (

0.83)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.35)

35.13% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

-0.37)

71.88% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Qatar 52.56%

North Korea 23.36%

Draw 24.07%

Qatar	Draw	North Korea
1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.36%