World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK

North Korea
2 - 3
Iran

Taremi (56'), Yu-song (59')
Jo-Guk (1'), Il-Kuk (33')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ghayedi (29'), Mohebi (41', 45')
Yousefi (72')
Khalilzadeh (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between North Korea and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: North Korea vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: Iran 4-1 Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. Iran
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 82.39%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.76%) and 0-1 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
North Korea	Draw	Iran
5.3% ( 3.33)	12.31% ( 5.42)	82.39% ( -8.76)

Both teams to score 39.03% (

9.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

-7.91)

37.61% (

7.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.15% (

-9.02)

59.85% (

9.02)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.92% (

11.27)

58.07% (

-11.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.36% (

5.1)

89.63% (

-5.1)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.1% (

-3.08)

6.89% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.67% (

-9.06)

25.33% (

9.06)

Score Analysis

North Korea 5.3%

Iran 82.37%

Draw 12.31%

North Korea	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 2.18% ( 1.21) 2-1 @ 1.58% ( 1) Other @ 1.54% Total : 5.3%	1-1 @ 5.82% ( 2.66) 0-0 @ 4% ( 1.36) 2-2 @ 2.11% ( 1.17) Other @ 0.38% Total : 12.31%	0-2 @ 14.31% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 12.76% ( -2.6) 0-1 @ 10.7% ( 2.06) 0-4 @ 8.54% ( -4) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 2.62) 1-3 @ 6.94% ( 1.31) 1-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 4.57% ( -3.63) 1-5 @ 2.48% ( -0.52) 0-6 @ 2.04% ( -2.43) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.86) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.42) 1-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.53) Other @ 3.37% Total : 82.37%