Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Cerro Largo logo

Defensor
3 - 2
Cerro Largo

De Los Santos (8', 8'), Gomez (28', 28'), Alvarez (59', 59')
Gomez (60'), Gomez (60'), Federico Amaro Viega (72'), Federico Amaro Viega (72'), Fernando Abreu Firenze (90+6'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (90+6'), Fernando Abreu Firenze (90+6'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (90+6')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Mir (72', 72'), Garcia (90+3', 90+3')
Bertochi (21'), Bertochi (21'), Anasco (40'), Anasco (40'), Assis (82'), Assis (82'), Andres Rossi Donazar (87'), Andres Rossi Donazar (87'), Gianoli (88'), Gianoli (88')
Contrera (90+5'), Contrera (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Defensor
Sunday, May 18 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
49.42% (-0.283 -0.28)28.1% (0.454 0.45)22.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.99% (-1.262 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.48% (-1.527 -1.53)63.52% (1.527 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.16% (-1.111 -1.11)82.84% (1.109 1.11)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.833 -0.83)26.04% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-1.136 -1.14)61.08% (1.133 1.13)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-1.07 -1.07)44.58% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-0.878 -0.88)80.59% (0.87700000000001 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 49.4%
    Cerro Largo 22.48%
    Draw 28.08%
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.61% (0.5 0.5)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.6% (0.64 0.64)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.48%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2025 12.15am
Gameweek 7
Defensor
0-0
Cerro Largo
De Los Santos (41'), Estiven Prieto Machado (45+1'), Alvarez (88'), Wunsch (90')
Gianoli (66'), Bonifazi (90+5')
Nov 27, 2024 9.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cerro Largo
3-0
Defensor
Di Pippa (22'), Mir (43'), Anasco (81')
Contrera (58')

Barrios (50'), Jorge (65')
May 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
3-1
Cerro Largo
Bautista Viacava Caviglia (10'), Rivero (16'), Mansilla (45+1')
Soria (90+3')
Silveira (36' pen.)
Brasil (12'), Silveira (48'), Correa (54'), Santilli (74'), Furtado (79'), Estol (86'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 7
Defensor
2-0
Cerro Largo
Agazzi (57'), Duarte (89')
De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (15'), Ramirez (32'), Barco (63'), Cabrera (87')

Mir (12'), Viera (71')
Mar 19, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
0-3
Defensor
Gianoli (4' og.), De Los Santos (64'), Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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