Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Cerro Largo logo

Defensor
3 - 2
Cerro Largo

De Los Santos (8', 8'), Gomez (28', 28'), Alvarez (59', 59')
Gomez (60'), Gomez (60'), Federico Amaro Viega (72'), Federico Amaro Viega (72'), Fernando Abreu Firenze (90+6'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (90+6'), Fernando Abreu Firenze (90+6'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (90+6')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Mir (72', 72'), Garcia (90+3', 90+3')
Bertochi (21'), Bertochi (21'), Anasco (40'), Anasco (40'), Assis (82'), Assis (82'), Andres Rossi Donazar (87'), Andres Rossi Donazar (87'), Gianoli (88'), Gianoli (88')
Contrera (90+5'), Contrera (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Defensor
Sunday, May 18 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 18 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
49.42% (-0.283 -0.28)28.1% (0.454 0.45)22.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.99% (-1.262 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.48% (-1.527 -1.53)63.52% (1.527 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.16% (-1.111 -1.11)82.84% (1.109 1.11)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.833 -0.83)26.04% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-1.136 -1.14)61.08% (1.133 1.13)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (-1.07 -1.07)44.58% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-0.878 -0.88)80.59% (0.87700000000001 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 49.4%
    Cerro Largo 22.48%
    Draw 28.08%
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.61% (0.5 0.5)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.6% (0.64 0.64)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.48%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2025 12.15am
Gameweek 7
Defensor
0-0
Cerro Largo
De Los Santos (41'), Estiven Prieto Machado (45+1'), Alvarez (88'), Wunsch (90')
Gianoli (66'), Bonifazi (90+5')
Nov 27, 2024 9.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cerro Largo
3-0
Defensor
Di Pippa (22'), Mir (43'), Anasco (81')
Contrera (58')

Barrios (50'), Jorge (65')
May 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
3-1
Cerro Largo
Bautista Viacava Caviglia (10'), Rivero (16'), Mansilla (45+1')
Soria (90+3')
Silveira (36' pen.)
Brasil (12'), Silveira (48'), Correa (54'), Santilli (74'), Furtado (79'), Estol (86'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 7
Defensor
2-0
Cerro Largo
Agazzi (57'), Duarte (89')
De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (15'), Ramirez (32'), Barco (63'), Cabrera (87')

Mir (12'), Viera (71')
Mar 19, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
0-3
Defensor
Gianoli (4' og.), De Los Santos (64'), Navarro (90')