Spain U21s
5 - 1
Ukraine U21s

Ruiz (17'), Sancet (24'), Blanco (54'), Oroz (68'), Gomez (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bondarenko (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Spain Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Switzerland U21s
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	3	4	7
2	Ukraine Under-21s	3	3	7
3	Croatia Under-21s	3	-3	1
4	Romania Under-21s	3	-4	1

Ukraine Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: France U21s 1-3 Ukraine U21s
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	3	4	7
2	Ukraine Under-21s	3	3	7
3	Croatia Under-21s	3	-3	1
4	Romania Under-21s	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Spain Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
69.39%	18.65%	11.96%

Both teams to score 47.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02%

43.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63%

66.37%

Spain Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47%

11.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56%

36.45%

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.55%

46.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.93%

82.07%

Score Analysis

Spain Under-21s 69.38%

Ukraine Under-21s 11.96%

Draw 18.65%

Spain Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.49% 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.86% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.38%	1-1 @ 8.87% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 4.11% 1-2 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.96%