European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Spain U21s
1 - 0
Croatia U21s

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Spain Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Romania U21s 0-3 Spain U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	1	3	3
2	Ukraine Under-21s	1	2	3
3	Croatia Under-21s	1	-2	0
4	Romania Under-21s	1	-3	0

Croatia Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 2-0 Croatia U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	1	3	3
2	Ukraine Under-21s	1	2	3
3	Croatia Under-21s	1	-2	0
4	Romania Under-21s	1	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Spain Under-21s had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Spain Under-21s	Draw	Croatia Under-21s
27.32% ( 0.06)	20.3% ( -0.17)	52.38% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 70.83% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.19% (

0.9)

26.8% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.75% (

1.14)

47.24% (

-1.15)

Spain Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

0.52)

20.58% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

0.82)

53.11% (

-0.83)

Croatia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.18% (

0.33)

10.81% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.13% (

0.74)

34.86% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Spain Under-21s 27.32%

Croatia Under-21s 52.38%

Draw 20.3%

Spain Under-21s	Draw	Croatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.32%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.38%